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Jalen Brunson

Jalen Brunson Points
Player Prop - 4/2/2024

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks

Jalen Brunson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Brunson has attempted 21.0 field goals per game this year, a significant increase from his 18.0 mark last year.

Jalen Brunson has attempted 9.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 2.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this season on the road.

Jalen Brunson has averaged 35.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 96th percentile.

The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a favorable one; they have allowed the 4th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1).

The New York Knicks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Knicks.

The Knicks are expected to see a decline in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA this year (the Heat).

Jalen Brunson will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lower player performance in all facets of the game.

More Jalen Brunson Player Props

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