Jalen Brunson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2024

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Jalen Brunson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Brunson

G · New York Knicks

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs New York Knicks · Jan 5, 2024

Updated Jan 6, 2024 12:36 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Brunson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-136/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -141 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -136.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Brunson has attempted 19.5 field goals per game this year, placing him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Jalen Brunson has converted 2.8 3-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the NBA.
Jalen Brunson has tallied 36.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 98th percentile.
The matchup against the Philadelphia 76ers is a good one for three-pointers; the other team's starting PGs have posted the 22nd-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (37.7%).
The 4th-quickest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the New York Knicks.

Favors Under

With respect to shooting, the Knicks's unimpressive 46.7% field goal rate settles in as the 8th-worst in the league this year.
The 76ers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (13.4) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Philadelphia 76ers may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a mere 0.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (15th-least in the league).
Jalen Brunson will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to decrease player performance in all stat categories.

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