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Jalen Brunson

Jalen Brunson Points
Player Prop - 12/1/2023

Toronto Raptors vs New York Knicks

Jalen Brunson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Brunson has posted a terrific 27.6 points per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 24.1 points per game last season.

Jalen Brunson has converted an impressive 3.3 threes per game this year, a big improvement over his 2.0 mark last year.

Among all players in the league, Jalen Brunson ranks in the 97th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 34.9 minutes per game at home this year.

The Knicks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

This year when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has snagged 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the Raptors (lessening possessions that could otherwise spark further chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

As it relates to scoring, the Knicks's subpar 110.4 points per game away from home settles in as the 5th-worst in the league this year.

The matchup vs. Toronto is a tough one for 3-point shots; when the Raptors are playing at home, opposing starting PGs have put up the 15th-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (25.5%).

The New York Knicks have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA this year.

The Toronto Raptors have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Knicks.

Jalen Brunson stands to see a decline in efficiency for all stats considering playing away from hom in this game.

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