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Jalen Brunson

Jalen Brunson Points
Player Prop - 11/24/2023

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat

Jalen Brunson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Brunson has converted an impressive 3.2 treys per game this season, a significant increase from his 2.0 rate last season.

Jalen Brunson has played 32.6 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.

This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PGs have shot 47.8% on field goals (26th-highest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, creating a positive matchup.

The New York Knicks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

This year when they are on their home court, their opposition has captured 10.1 offensive boards per game (8th-fewest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat (diminishing possessions that could otherwise result in bonus opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jalen Brunson has made a lowly 36.1% of his shot attempts from the field this season, quite a bit less than his 48.5 rate last season.

Jalen Brunson has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling when it comes to getting T'ed up.

As it relates to shooting, the New York Knicks's unimpressive 110.1 points per game settles in as the 7th-fewest in the league this year.

The least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA this year has been the New York Knicks.

The New York Knicks are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from facing the most lethargic tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat).

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