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Jalen Brunson

Jalen Brunson Points
Player Prop - 5/12/2023

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks

Jalen Brunson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Brunson has averaged 29.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 more than he's averaged in all games this season.

Jalen Brunson has tallied 41.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 higher than he's tallied in all games this season.

The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jalen Brunson has sunk 6.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's put through the net in all games this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jalen Brunson has tallied 2.2 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league (75th percentile).

The New York Knicks rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.

The matchup against the Heat is a tough one; they have given up the 14th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs this year (16.6).

The New York Knicks have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games while on the road.

The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Knicks.

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