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Jalen Brunson

Jalen Brunson Points
Player Prop - 5/6/2023

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks

Jalen Brunson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Brunson has attempted 20.8 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.9 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

Jalen Brunson has attempted 7.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 2.1 more than he's attempted overall this season on the road.

Jalen Brunson has played 39.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.0 more than he's played in all games this season.

The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New York Knicks have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The matchup against the Heat is a hard one for field goals; the opposition's starting PGs have tallied the 15th-least baskets per game in the league this year (5.7).

The New York Knicks have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games while on the road.

The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Knicks.

The matchup vs. the Heat may be a hard one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.3 free throws per game over the last 25 games (10th-least in the NBA).

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