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Jalen Brunson

Jalen Brunson Points
Player Prop - 5/2/2023

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat

Jalen Brunson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Brunson has successfully made 10.0 buckets per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Jalen Brunson has attempted 6.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's attempted in all games this year.

Jalen Brunson has tallied 39.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.

The Heat have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Knicks.

The New York Knicks rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jalen Brunson has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 higher than he's committed in all games this season.

The matchup against the Heat is a tough one for field goals; opposing starting PGs have totaled the 15th-least shots made from the field per game in the NBA this year (5.7).

The New York Knicks have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The matchup vs. the Heat may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PGs have attempted a lowly 2.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (12th-least in the NBA).

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