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Jalen Brunson

Jalen Brunson Points
Player Prop - 3/29/2023

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat

Jalen Brunson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Brunson has posted 30.0 points per game over the last 10 games while playing at home, 5.3 more than he's posted over the course of the year at home.

Jalen Brunson has made 2.7 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.8 more than he's converted over the course of the season on his home court.

Jalen Brunson has played 34.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 94th percentile.

The New York Knicks have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New York Knicks have been the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA on their home court this year.

The matchup against the Heat is a hard one for scoring; the other team's starting PGs have averaged the 15th-least buckets per game in the NBA this year (5.6).

The New York Knicks have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA on their home court this year.

The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Knicks.

The matchup vs. the Heat may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.3 free throws per game over the last 10 games (14th-least in the league).

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