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Jalen Brunson

Jalen Brunson Points
Player Prop - 3/3/2023

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks

Jalen Brunson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Brunson has attempted 16.0 field goals per game over the last 15 games, 2.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

Jalen Brunson has made 1.8 threes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's made over the course of the season when playing on the road.

Jalen Brunson has played 32.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 87th percentile.

The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

The Heat have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New York Knicks check in as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.

The matchup against the Heat is a tough one for field goals; the other team's starting PGs have totaled the 15th-least baskets per game in the league this year (5.4).

The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league away from home this year.

The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Knicks.

Jalen Brunson will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens player production across the board.

More Jalen Brunson Player Props

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