Jalen Brunson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 10/25/2023

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Jalen Brunson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Brunson

G · New York Knicks

Made 3 Point Shots

New York Knicks vs Boston Celtics · Oct 25, 2023

Updated Oct 25, 2023 11:07 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Brunson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Brunson has successfully made a terrific 2.0 shots from downtown per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 1.2 rate last season.
Jalen Brunson has played 42.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) higher than he's played overall this season on the road.
The matchup vs. the Celtics is a good one for 3-point shots; opposing starting PGs have totaled the 25th-most three-pointers per game in the league this year (2.4).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the New York Knicks rank 13thbest in in the NBA while on their home court with 12.6 offensive boards per game this year.
This year, opposing squads have come down with 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics (minimizing possessions that could otherwise create added chances for offense).

Favors Under

Compared to his full-season mark of core.FORMAT(RATE2,1), Jalen Brunson's personal fouls per game have surged by core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) over the last 5 games.
In regard to three-pointers, the New York Knicks's feeble 34.6% rate of sunk threes while playing away from home measures as the 5th-fewest in the NBA this year.
The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home.
The {OPP_TEAM} will likely suffer a drop-off in plays today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most sluggish pace offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Celtics).

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