Jalen Brunson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2023

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Jalen Brunson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Brunson

G · New York Knicks

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks · Mar 3, 2023

Updated Mar 4, 2023 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Brunson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-140).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Brunson has made 1.8 threes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's made over the course of the season when playing on the road.
Jalen Brunson has played 32.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 87th percentile.
The matchup vs. the Heat is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.8).
The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
The Heat have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league away from home this year.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Knicks.
Jalen Brunson will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens player production across the board.

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