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Jalen Brunson

Jalen Brunson Assists
Player Prop - 1/27/2024

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Jalen Brunson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jalen Brunson has put up 7.0 assists per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this metric.
  • Out of all players in the league, Jalen Brunson registers in the 95th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 35.2 minutes per game while playing at home this year.
  • Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Knicks grade out 2ndbest in in the NBA with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
  • The Heat have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • Jalen Brunson will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home tends to increase stat production in all facets of the game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Out of all players in the league, Jalen Brunson places in the 76th percentile for technical fouls, averaging a whopping 0.1 fouls per game while at home this year.
  • The Knicks have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league at home this year.
  • The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the New York Knicks.

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