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Jalen Brunson

Jalen Brunson Assists
Player Prop - 12/15/2023

Phoenix Suns vs New York Knicks

Jalen Brunson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+113/-147).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -143 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -147.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Brunson has posted 5.7 assists per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 95th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this metric.

Jalen Brunson has tallied 35.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 97th percentile.

The Knicks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jalen Brunson has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 76th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone when it comes to getting T'ed up.

The Knicks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.

The Phoenix Suns have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Knicks.

Without the home court advantage, the Phoenix Suns have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jalen Brunson will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens player performance for all stats.

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