Jalen Brunson Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/18/2023

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Jalen Brunson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Brunson

G · New York Knicks

Assists

Charlotte Hornets vs New York Knicks · Nov 18, 2023

Updated Nov 18, 2023 11:08 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Brunson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Brunson has played 34.2 minutes per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 91st percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The New York Knicks will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from facing the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league this year (the Charlotte Hornets).
The New York Knicks have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Charlotte Hornets have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jalen Brunson has averaged a mere 4.8 assists per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 6.1 assists per game last season.
Relative to last year's 0.0 clip, Jalen Brunson's technical fouls have surged this year to 0.2 per game.
The most lethargic pace home offense in the league this year has been the Knicks.
Jalen Brunson should suffer a reduction in performance in all facets of the game in light of playing away from hom in this matchup.

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