Jalen Brunson Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/9/2023

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Jalen Brunson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Brunson

G · New York Knicks

Assists

Sacramento Kings vs New York Knicks · Mar 9, 2023

Updated Mar 10, 2023 3:08 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Brunson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Brunson has tallied 4.6 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this metric: 90th percentile.
Jalen Brunson has been on the court for 32.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 87th percentile.
The Kings have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home city, which ought to increase plays for the Knicks.
The New York Knicks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league without the home court advantage this year.
The Kings have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jalen Brunson will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to decreases player performance across the board.

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