Ja'Kobe Walter Points - Player Prop Bet 11/29/2024

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Ja'Kobe Walter

NBA · Player Props

Ja'Kobe Walter

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 29, 2024

Updated Nov 30, 2024 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Ja'Kobe Walter Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-127/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied 6.3 three attempts per game (most in the league) against the Miami Heat, branding this as a favorable matchup.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors grade out best in in the NBA with 14.3 offensive boards per game this year.
The matchup against Miami is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SGs have attempted a monstrous 3.4 free throws per game this year when the Heat are on their home court (9th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Ja'Kobe Walter has successfully made 33.7% of his field goals when playing away from home since the start of last season, placing him in the 16th percentile among all players in the NBA.
When it comes to offense, the Raptors's lackluster 107.6 points per game measures as the 6th-fewest in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play away offense in the league this year has been the Raptors.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA on their home court this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Toronto Raptors.
Ja'Kobe Walter has sunk 33.3% of his foul shot attempts since the start of last season, ranking in the 3rd percentile among all players in the NBA.

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