Jakob Poeltl Steals - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2025

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Steals

Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 6, 2025

Updated Jan 7, 2025 4:00 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+155/-210).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +155 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has averaged 1.0 steals per game this year at home, putting him among the NBA's leaders by this standard over this stretch: 78th percentile.
Among all players in the NBA, Jakob Poeltl slots into the 84th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 32.0 minutes per game this year.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games.
The Raptors will likely get a boost in plays today from squaring off against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).
Jakob Poeltl is expected to see a spike in performance for all stats as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has committed 3.6 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

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