Jakob Poeltl Steals - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2025

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Steals

Toronto Raptors vs Orlando Magic · Jan 3, 2025

Updated Jan 4, 2025 12:24 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+170/-225).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -225 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -225.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has compiled 1.0 steals per game this year at home, placing him among the best in the league by this standard over this stretch of games: 79th percentile.
Jakob Poeltl has tallied 31.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 83rd percentile.
The 2nd-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Raptors.
Jakob Poeltl will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage usually raises player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Jakob Poeltl measures in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, logging an enormous 3.5 fouls per game at home this year.
The Magic have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Raptors.

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