Jakob Poeltl Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/1/2024

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Rebounds

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat · Dec 1, 2024

Updated Dec 2, 2024 2:09 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has totaled an impressive 4.3 offensive rebounds per game this year, significantly higher than his 2.9 offensive rebounds per game last year.
Jakob Poeltl has played 32.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 83rd percentile.
The 8th-most up-tempo tempo home team in the league this year has been the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
Jakob Poeltl will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage usually raises player production across the board.

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has committed 3.8 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 99th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Miami Heat have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the league this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Raptors.

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