Jakob Poeltl Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/29/2024

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Rebounds

Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 29, 2024

Updated Nov 30, 2024 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-124/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has totaled a terrific 4.3 offensive rebounds per game this year, significantly more than his 2.9 offensive rebounds per game last year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Jakob Poeltl places in the 80th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 31.8 minutes per game while playing away from home this year.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors grade out best in in the NBA with 14.3 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jakob Poeltl ranks in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, logging a monstrous 3.5 fouls per game away from his home court this year.
The 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play away offense in the league this year has been the Raptors.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA on their home court this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Toronto Raptors.
Jakob Poeltl will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally decreases stat production in all stat categories.

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