Jakob Poeltl Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/27/2024

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Rebounds

New Orleans Pelicans vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 27, 2024

Updated Nov 28, 2024 1:02 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has totaled a whopping 4.5 offensive rebounds per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 2.9 offensive rebounds per game last year.
Jakob Poeltl has been on the court for 31.9 minutes per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 80th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Toronto Raptors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Jakob Poeltl places in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, compiling an enormous 3.4 fouls per game while on the road this year.
The Raptors have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
The Toronto Raptors will likely experience a decrease in plays today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most lethargic tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pelicans).
Jakob Poeltl will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens player production for all stats.

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