Jakob Poeltl Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/6/2024

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Rebounds

Sacramento Kings vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 6, 2024

Updated Nov 6, 2024 5:44 PM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+125/-165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has averaged a terrific 4.4 offensive boards per game this season, a big improvement over his 2.9 offensive boards per game last season.
The Raptors have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Raptors will likely see a spike in opportunities today from squaring off against the 10th-quickest pace offense in the league this year (the Sacramento Kings).
The Raptors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Compared to last season's 3.0 mark, Jakob Poeltl's personal fouls per game have increased this season to 4.1.
Jakob Poeltl will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally worsens player performance in all facets of the game.

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