Jakob Poeltl Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/2/2024

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Rebounds

Toronto Raptors vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 2, 2024

Updated Nov 3, 2024 1:19 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has averaged 3.1 offensive boards per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 98th percentile -- among the league leaders by this standard over this stretch.
Jakob Poeltl has tallied 32.0 minutes per game at home this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Raptors are expected to see an increase in possessions today from facing the 8th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors rank 3rd-best in in the NBA with 15.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Jakob Poeltl figures to get a boost in effectiveness in all stat categories due to controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Jakob Poeltl slots into the 86th percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 3.3 fouls per game while on his home court this year.

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