Jakob Poeltl Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/22/2024

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Rebounds

Toronto Raptors vs Brooklyn Nets · Feb 22, 2024

Updated Feb 23, 2024 3:45 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-160/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has tallied 4.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's tallied in all games this season.
The 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Toronto Raptors.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors rank 15thbest in in the league on their home court with 14.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Jakob Poeltl should get a boost in output in all stat categories on account of possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jakob Poeltl places in the 90th percentile for personal fouls, posting a monstrous 2.7 fouls per game while at home this year.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to decreased plays for the Raptors.
While playing away from home, the Brooklyn Nets have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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