Jakob Poeltl Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/9/2024

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Rebounds

Toronto Raptors vs Houston Rockets · Feb 9, 2024

Updated Feb 10, 2024 12:47 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Toronto Raptors will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 15 games (the Rockets).
Over the last 10 games when they are at home, opposing clubs have collected 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Rockets (turning over possessions that could otherwise create bonus chances for offense).
Jakob Poeltl will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally increases player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has averaged just 2.7 offensive boards per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 3.3 offensive boards per game last year.
Jakob Poeltl has committed 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's committed over the course of the season.
The 5th-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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