Jakob Poeltl Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/5/2024

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Rebounds

New Orleans Pelicans vs Toronto Raptors · Feb 5, 2024

Updated Feb 6, 2024 1:02 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-139/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has totaled 5.9 defensive boards per game this year on the road, putting him among the NBA's hottest by this metric over this stretch of games: 95th percentile.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games as the road team.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors grade out 7thbest in in the league with 11.2 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has been called for 4.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's been called for in all games this season.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Raptors.
At home, the New Orleans Pelicans have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
Jakob Poeltl will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to decrease player performance in all facets of the game.

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