Jakob Poeltl Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/7/2024

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Rebounds

Golden State Warriors vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 7, 2024

Updated Jan 8, 2024 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-160/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has posted 3.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games when playing away from home, 0.6 more than he's posted overall this year on the road.
The 4th-speediest pace road offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Toronto Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has tallied 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's tallied in all games this season.
The Toronto Raptors will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors).
When playing at home, the Warriors have given up the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (11.7) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Jakob Poeltl will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to decrease player performance in all stat categories.

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