Jakob Poeltl Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/30/2023

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Rebounds

Detroit Pistons vs Toronto Raptors · Dec 30, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 10:52 PM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-111/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has averaged 3.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 1.1 more than he's averaged over the course of the season on the road.
The Raptors are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 6th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games (the Pistons).
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, opposing squads have come down with 9.5 offensive boards per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Pistons (shortening possessions that could otherwise lead to added chances for offense).

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league (89th percentile).
The 8th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Raptors.
Jakob Poeltl will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually lowers player performance for all stats.

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