Jakob Poeltl Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2023

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Rebounds

Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors · Dec 29, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 12:35 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has posted 3.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.0 higher than he's posted overall this year on the road.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road.
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out 3rdbest in in the league with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (89th percentile).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should reduce possessions for the Raptors.
The Celtics have given up the most offensive boards per game (14.2) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Jakob Poeltl will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to reduce player performance across the board.

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