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Jakob Poeltl

Jakob Poeltl Rebounds
Player Prop - 12/20/2023

Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets

Jakob Poeltl Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jakob Poeltl has totaled 2.9 offensive boards per game this year at home, putting him among the best in the league in this category in recent games: 95th percentile.

The Raptors rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

This year when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has brought down 10.2 offensive boards per game (9th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets (lessening possessions that could otherwise lead to extra opportunities for offense).

Jakob Poeltl stands to see an increase in production in all facets of the game on account of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jakob Poeltl has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.

The Toronto Raptors have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to decreased plays for the Raptors.

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