Jakob Poeltl Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Rebounds

Indiana Pacers vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 23, 2023 12:03 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 5th-speediest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Raptors.
The Pacers have played at the quickest pace in the league on the road this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Toronto Raptors.
The Raptors check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has tallied just 2.7 offensive rebounds per game this year, significantly less than his 3.3 offensive rebounds per game last year.
Relative to last season's 2.5 rate, Jakob Poeltl's personal fouls per game have jumped this season to 3.8.
Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the other team has collected 10.6 offensive boards per game (8th-highest in the league) vs. the Indiana Pacers (retaining possessions that can spark more chances for offense).
Jakob Poeltl will likely suffer a reduction in productivity in all stat categories in light of playing away from hom in this matchup.

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