Jakob Poeltl Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/5/2023

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 5, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 3:37 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has totaled 3.2 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season, ranking him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 98th percentile.
The Spurs have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should increase possessions for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Jakob Poeltl places in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 2.6 fouls per game since the start of last season.
The Raptors have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year.
Since the start of last season when they are at home, opposing squads have come down with 11.2 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Spurs (maintaining possessions that can lead to added opportunities for offense).
Jakob Poeltl will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to lower player performance in all facets of the game.

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