Jakob Poeltl Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2023

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Rebounds

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat · Mar 28, 2023

Updated Mar 28, 2023 11:33 PM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Toronto Raptors rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jakob Poeltl will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city generally increases player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has posted just 3.3 offensive rebounds per game this season, significantly less than his 3.8 offensive rebounds per game last season.
Jakob Poeltl has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (89th percentile).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year.
The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Raptors.

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