Jakob Poeltl Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/8/2023

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

Toronto Raptors vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 8, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games when playing away from home.
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Raptors have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has tallied a mere 3.3 offensive rebounds per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 3.8 offensive rebounds per game last year.
Jakob Poeltl has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (83rd percentile).
The Raptors have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA in their home city this year, which should lead to decreased plays for the Spurs.

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