Jakob Poeltl Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/1/2023

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 1, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-149/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -149.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The San Antonio Spurs have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Kings have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the league this year, which should raise opportunities for the Spurs.
The Kings have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
Jakob Poeltl will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to improves player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has put up a measly 3.3 offensive rebounds per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 3.8 offensive rebounds per game last year.
Jakob Poeltl has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game at home this year, placing him in the 78th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

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