Jakob Poeltl Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2023

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 4, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has put up 10.6 rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's put up over the course of the season.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which can also create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Knicks have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the NBA to their opposition since the start of last season on their home court (which can also produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 85th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The Spurs have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should decrease possessions for the Knicks.
Jakob Poeltl will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsens player performance for all stats.

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