Jakob Poeltl Points - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2025

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Points

Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors · Dec 15, 2025

Updated Dec 16, 2025 12:34 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-122/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has scored 16.2 points per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 3.6 higher than he's scored overall this season on the road.
In regard to shooting, the Raptors's excellent 49.0% field goal rate while on the road rates 5th-most in the NBA this year.
The Toronto Raptors will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the most up-tempo tempo offense in the league this year (the Miami Heat).

Favors Under

The 5th-most sluggish pace road team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Toronto Raptors.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, but the Raptors grade out 10thworst in in the NBA with a mere 10.7 offensive boards per game this year.

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