Jakob Poeltl Points - Player Prop Bet 10/22/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Toronto Raptors · Oct 22, 2025

Updated Oct 23, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has successfully made 61.3% of his field goals since the start of last season, ranking in the 95th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the league, Jakob Poeltl places in the 76th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 29.6 minutes per game since the start of last season.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the league since the start of last season.
The Toronto Raptors are expected to get a boost in plays in this contest from facing the 3rd-quickest pace offense in the league since the start of last season (the Atlanta Hawks).
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors rank 4th-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has attempted 0.1 shots from downtown per game since the start of last season, placing him in the 6th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Jakob Poeltl has been called for 3.1 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (98th percentile).
The Toronto Raptors have been the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season.
The rate of shots from behind the three-point arc made against Kristaps Porzingis has been quite low (20.8%) when guarding other starting Cs since the start of last season (4th percentile).
Jakob Poeltl will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to reduce player performance across the board.