Jakob Poeltl Points - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2025

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Detroit Pistons · Apr 4, 2025

Updated Apr 5, 2025 2:30 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-148/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -139 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has made 100.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 66.7% more than he's converted overall this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Jakob Poeltl comes in at the 79th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 29.6 minutes per game this year.
The 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Raptors.
The Pistons have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 20 games without the home court advantage, which should boost plays for the Toronto Raptors.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors rank best in in the league when playing at home with 16.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jakob Poeltl comes in at the 98th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a monstrous 3.1 fouls per game this year.
In terms of shooting, the Raptors's lackluster 109.6 points per game places 4th-weakest in the league over the last 25 games.
The faceoff with Jalen Duren lands in the 7th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs converting a mere 5.0 field goals per game this year when they are at home.

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