Jakob Poeltl Points - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2025

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 16, 2025

Updated Mar 17, 2025 2:59 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-132/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -124 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last year's 7.6 rate, Jakob Poeltl's shots have risen this year to 10.0 per game.
Jakob Poeltl has tallied 29.5 minutes per game on the road this year, placing him in the 78th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The rate of shots from behind the three-point arc made against Donovan Clingan has been quite high (37.6%) when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (90th percentile).
The 7th-speediest tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Toronto Raptors.
The Raptors are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-quickest tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Trail Blazers).

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (99th percentile).
With respect to three-pointers, the Raptors's lackluster 11.6 successful threes per game places 2nd-worst in the league this year.
Jakob Poeltl will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases player production in all stat categories.

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