Jakob Poeltl Points - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Points

Orlando Magic vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 4, 2025

Updated Mar 5, 2025 3:54 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last season's 7.6 mark, Jakob Poeltl's shots taken have increased this season to 10.1 per game.
Jakob Poeltl has been on the court for 29.7 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Raptors have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games as the away team.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Wendell Carter Jr. is a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; when Carter Jr. is at home opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 3.8 foul shots per game (88th percentile).

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has converted 0.0% of his three-point shots while on the road this year, putting him in the 7th percentile out of all players in the league.
Out of all players in the league, Jakob Poeltl registers in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a colossal 3.2 fouls per game while playing on the road this year.
When it comes to offense, the Toronto Raptors's feeble 100.6 points per game as the visting team places 2nd-lowest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The number of field goal attempts against Wendell Carter Jr. has been very low (8.7 per game) when guarding fellow starting Cs this year (14th percentile).
The Toronto Raptors will likely see a decline in plays in this game from competing against the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Orlando Magic).