Jakob Poeltl Points - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Points

Orlando Magic vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 2, 2025

Updated Mar 3, 2025 4:49 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 7.6 mark, Jakob Poeltl's shots have spiked this season to 10.1 per game.
Out of all players in the NBA, Jakob Poeltl ranks in the 78th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 29.9 minutes per game when playing on the road this year.
The Raptors have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road.
The Raptors rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs vs. Wendell Carter Jr. has been very high (3.4 foul shot attempts per game) when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (93rd percentile).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Jakob Poeltl comes in at the 7th percentile for 3-point effectiveness while playing on the road with a lackluster 0.0% rate this year.
Jakob Poeltl has averaged 3.1 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Raptors have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home.
The matchup against Wendell Carter Jr. is a hard one for shot attempts from the field; when Carter Jr. is playing at home and matched up against fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 8.6 field goals per game (7th percentile).
The Toronto Raptors are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace team in the league this year (the Orlando Magic).