Jakob Poeltl Points - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2025

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Toronto Raptors · Feb 26, 2025

Updated Feb 27, 2025 4:04 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has sunk 65.7% of his field goals over the last 10 games on the road, 8.3% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season away from home.
In comparison to last season's 26.4 mark, Jakob Poeltl's playing time has jumped this season to 30.9 minutes per game.
The rate of shots made against Myles Turner has been quite high (59.8%) when matched up against other starting Cs this year (83rd percentile).
The 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Raptors.
The Raptors will likely get a boost in plays in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pacers).

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has made 0.0% of his attempts from downtown without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 7th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Jakob Poeltl has tallied 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (99th percentile).
With respect to scoring, the Raptors's subpar 105.0 points per game on the road comes in as the 3rd-worst in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Jakob Poeltl is expected to suffer a drop-off in effectiveness across the board considering playing away from home in this matchup.

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