Jakob Poeltl Points - Player Prop Bet 2/4/2025

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs New York Knicks · Feb 4, 2025

Updated Feb 5, 2025 3:54 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has attempted 10.3 shots from the field per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 7.6 rate last year.
Out of all players in the league, Jakob Poeltl places in the 82nd percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 31.3 minutes per game this year.
The Raptors have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The New York Knicks have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Raptors.
The Raptors check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Jakob Poeltl places in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a colossal 3.4 fouls per game this year.
The Raptors check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games at home.
The number of points put up against Karl-Anthony Towns has been remarkably low (12.1 per game) when guarding opposing starting Cs this year (10th percentile).
The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs vs. Karl-Anthony Towns has been quite low this year (2.1 free throws per game: 7th percentile).

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