Jakob Poeltl Points - Player Prop Bet 1/21/2025

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Orlando Magic · Jan 21, 2025

Updated Jan 22, 2025 3:54 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Jakob Poeltl registers in the 94th percentile for field goal effectiveness with a superb 59.4% rate this year.
Jakob Poeltl has been on the court for 31.8 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 83rd percentile.
The 8th-quickest tempo home offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Raptors.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors grade out 7th-best in in the NBA as the home team with 12.1 offensive boards per game this year.
Jakob Poeltl ought to see a rise in output in all stat categories in light of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Jakob Poeltl measures in the 5th percentile for 3-point ability with an unimpressive 0.0% rate this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Jakob Poeltl ranks in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, tallying an enormous 3.3 fouls per game this year.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The matchup against Wendell Carter Jr. is a difficult one for three-point attempts; when Carter Jr. is away from his home court and matched up against other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a measly 1.7 3-pointers per game (17th percentile).
The Raptors will likely experience a decrease in plays today from squaring off against the least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Magic).

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