Jakob Poeltl Points - Player Prop Bet 1/13/2025

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Golden State Warriors · Jan 13, 2025

Updated Jan 14, 2025 4:04 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has sunk 64.6% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 6.1% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year.
Jakob Poeltl has been on the court for 32.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 84th percentile.
The Raptors have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 20 games at home.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors grade out 4th-best in in the league while playing at home with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
Jakob Poeltl will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally increases player production across the board.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jakob Poeltl rates in the 5th percentile for three-point effectiveness with a bad 0.0% rate this year.
Jakob Poeltl has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the league (99th percentile).
The Raptors rank as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games as the home team.
When facing other starting Cs, Trayce Jackson-Davis slots into the 10th percentile with a mere 1.5 3-point shots attempted against him per game this year.
The Warriors have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road, which should lead to decreased plays for the Raptors.

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