Jakob Poeltl Points - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2025

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 6, 2025

Updated Jan 7, 2025 4:00 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Jakob Poeltl slots into the 84th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 32.0 minutes per game this year.
While away from his home court and facing opposing starting Cs, Brook Lopez rates in the 97th percentile with a whopping 3.2 three-point shots attempted against him per game this year.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games.
The Raptors will likely get a boost in plays today from squaring off against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has successfully made 0.0% of his treys this year, ranking in the 5th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Jakob Poeltl has committed 3.6 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs vs. Brook Lopez has been quite low this year (1.9 free throw attempts per game: 3rd percentile).

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