Jakob Poeltl Points - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2025

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Orlando Magic · Jan 3, 2025

Updated Jan 4, 2025 12:15 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-121).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -121.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has tallied 31.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 83rd percentile.
The 2nd-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Goga Bitadze has been very high (3.9 foul shot attempts per game) when guarding other starting Cs this year (87th percentile).
Jakob Poeltl will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage usually raises player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has successfully made 0.0% of his three-pointers this year, ranking him in the 4th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Jakob Poeltl has attempted 0.1 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, ranking him in the 7th percentile among all players in the league.
Out of all players in the league, Jakob Poeltl measures in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, logging an enormous 3.5 fouls per game at home this year.
The Raptors rank as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The clash with Goga Bitadze comes in at the 3rd percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs draining just 46.5% of their field goal attempts this year.

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