Jakob Poeltl Points - Player Prop Bet 1/1/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Brooklyn Nets · Jan 1, 2025

Updated Jan 2, 2025 4:00 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Jakob Poeltl ranks in the 83rd percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 31.9 minutes per game this year.
The rate of shots converted against Nic Claxton has been quite high (63.9%) when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (97th percentile).
The 2nd-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Toronto Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Jakob Poeltl has converted 93.8% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 16.9% more than he's sunk over the course of the year with the home court advantage.

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has converted 0.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this year, placing him in the 4th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Jakob Poeltl has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 99th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
In regard to offense, the Raptors's poor 108.4 points per game settles in as the 7th-weakest in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Raptors will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from sharing the court with the least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Brooklyn Nets).
The matchup vs. Nic Claxton is a challenging one for drawing fouls; when Claxton is on the road and matched up against other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a measly 1.7 foul shots per game (10th percentile).