Jakob Poeltl Points - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2024

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Atlanta Hawks · Dec 29, 2024

Updated Dec 30, 2024 3:24 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Jakob Poeltl comes in at the 83rd percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 32.1 minutes per game this year.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing at home.
The matchup against Clint Capela is a favorable one for shots from downtown; when Capela is playing on the road fellow starting Cs this year, they have finished with an enormous 1.3 three-point shots per game (97th percentile).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Toronto Raptors will likely see a rise in possessions in this contest from facing the 2nd-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Hawks).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Jakob Poeltl ranks in the 4th percentile for 3-point performance with a subpar 0.0% rate this year.
Out of all players in the league, Jakob Poeltl comes in at the 98th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a colossal 3.5 fouls per game playing at home this year.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Toronto Raptors grade out 9thworst in in the NBA with only 10.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

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